Written by: The Smartin Team
The Manic Monday Manifesto: Why I’m Buying Wings While the World Burns
Listen to me! I’ve been up since 3:00 AM. I was watching the ASX 200 in Australia—it’s down 1.45%! The kangaroos are selling, the outback is in retreat! Then I look at Israel’s TA-35, and it’s bleeding red. Sure, Europe’s Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.74%, but you can’t trust a continent that takes three-hour lunch breaks when the $SPY is sitting at 739.17 and sweating like a tax cheat in an audit.
The overnight sentiment is “Anxious Neurosis,” which happens to be my natural state of being. But we don’t trade on feelings! We trade on data, people! We trade on the legendary principles of the great Peter Lynch. If you can’t explain the business to a golden retriever, you shouldn’t own it!
The Tech Titanic is Hitting a “PEG” Problem
Look at the Magnificent-ish Seven. $NVDA is down 4.42%. $AMD is cratering 5.69%. Even the mighty $GOOGL and $AMZN are leaking oil. Why? Because when the $QQQ drops 1.51%, the market realizes that a P/E ratio of “Infinity” isn’t a fundamental, it’s a fairy tale.
Lynch taught us to look at the PEG (Price/Earnings-to-Growth). These chips are fried because their growth isn’t keeping up with their bloated valuations. However, look at $MSFT (+3.05%). Why is Mr. Softy green in a sea of red? Because they have the cash flow of a small nation-state and a “moat” wider than my waistline after a week at the deli.
The “Boring” is Beautiful
You want to know what’s winning? Things you can actually touch.
- $WING (Wingstop): Up 8.89%! People are depressed, they want chicken wings. It’s a simple business with a visible expansion. That is a Lynch classic!
- $OXY (Occidental): Up 4.89%. $XOM is up 4.07%. Energy is the ultimate “stalwart.” While the tech bros are crying over their $COIN (-7.82%) and $MARA (-6.4%), the oil barons are laughing all the way to the bank. If the world is ending, you still need to heat your apartment, Jerry!
The “Avoid at All Costs” List (The Di-worse-ifiers)
$WKHS is down 17.54%. $IONQ is down 9.61%. $QBTS is down 8.04%. These are what I call “Whisper Stocks.” People whisper about them in dark hallways like they’re some magic secret. Lynch hated these! No earnings, high debt, and a “story” that requires a PhD and a crystal ball to understand. If the stock price is $2.98 like $WKHS, it’s not a “deal,” it’s a warning sign!
The Smartin Strategy for the Week
The $VTI is down 1.27%. The “Global Mood” is sour. But there is hope in the fundamentals.
- Check the Debt: Stocks like $MSFT and $XOM are holding because they aren’t drowning in interest payments.
- Look for Real Earnings: $SNOW (+4.45%) and $CRWD (+2.44%) are showing that if you actually provide a service people need (Security and Data), you can survive a $SPY pullback.
- Ignore the Noise: $DJT is down 3.13% and $GME is flat. That’s theater. We aren’t here for the Tony Awards; we’re here for the compound interest!
Don’t be like me, pacing your apartment until your carpet has a trench in it. Use your head. Use the data. And for heaven’s sake, use the right tools!
👉 Download Smartin: Quick Stock Ratings on the App Store today